Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.3% vs 56.3%). Kesler wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 56.0% vs Ott 54.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 66.2%
Defensive zone
Ott 51.9%
Neutral zone
Kesler 52.1%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Kesler
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kesler
Ott
Last 5: Kesler 3-2 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
0
Kesler
Ott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kesler
Ott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,185)
59.6% (228)
-2.2%
Power Play
58.0% (243)
71.4% (7)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (236)
38.8% (49)
+10.4%
On power play, Ott has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Kesler shoots right. Ott is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Kesler
Ott
Home
58.5% (793)
61.9% (126)
Away
54.3% (871)
51.9% (158)
By Period
Kesler
Ott
P1
57.0%
65.4%
P2
55.4%
50.0%
P3
56.7%
55.1%
OT
54.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |