Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.0% vs 55.5%). Look for Ott on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 26 meetings). Kesler wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Ott 55.4% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 37-25 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 54.6%
Defensive zone
Ott 60.7%
Neutral zone
Ott 50.4%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Kesler
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
37
(62 meetings)
25
37
Kesler
Ott
Last 10: Kesler 3-7 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
10
16
Kesler
Ott
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
10
15
Kesler
Ott
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
5
6
Kesler
Ott
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
57.2% (2,802)
-0.8%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
55.4% (567)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
49.9% (853)
+0.6%
On power play, Kesler has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Kesler shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Kesler
Ott
Home
57.2% (5,732)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Kesler
Ott
P1
56.5%
56.7%
P2
55.9%
53.9%
P3
56.1%
55.7%
OT
46.0%
60.8%
Final 5 min
56.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 03:02 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 15:02 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |