Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kero on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Kesler wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kero shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 57.0% vs Kero 45.4% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Kero leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kero 71.7%
Defensive zone
Kero 72.8%
Neutral zone
Kero 73.5%
Result
Tanner Kero favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Kesler
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Kesler
Kero
Last 10: Kesler 3-7 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kero
2
5
Kesler
Kero
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kero
0
1
Kesler
Kero
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kero
3
4
Kesler
Kero
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,225)
45.9% (434)
+11.7%
Power Play
63.5% (263)
50.0% (2)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (305)
25.7% (35)
+25.8%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Kesler is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Kesler shoots right. Kero is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Kesler
Kero
Home
59.1% (881)
47.7% (214)
Away
55.7% (912)
41.6% (257)
By Period
Kesler
Kero
P1
56.6%
44.4%
P2
58.2%
48.5%
P3
57.5%
39.4%
Final 5 min
59.0%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 06:00 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |