Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kero on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Kesler wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kero shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Kero 46.5% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Kero leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kero 71.7%
Defensive zone
Kero 74.8%
Neutral zone
Kero 73.1%
Result
Tanner Kero favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Kesler
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Kesler
Kero
Last 10: Kesler 3-7 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kero
2
5
Kesler
Kero
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kero
0
1
Kesler
Kero
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kero
3
4
Kesler
Kero
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
47.0% (668)
+9.4%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
42.9% (7)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
31.9% (47)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Kesler shoots right. Kero is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Kesler
Kero
Home
57.2% (5,732)
49.1% (332)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
43.3% (390)
By Period
Kesler
Kero
P1
56.5%
47.6%
P2
55.9%
48.8%
P3
56.1%
40.9%
OT
46.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 06:00 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |