Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kesler wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kopecky shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 57.0% vs Kopecky 44.3% (+15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 75.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 96.1%
Neutral zone
Kesler 91.8%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 93.5%
93.5%
6.5%
Kesler
Kopecky
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Kesler
Kopecky
Last 5: Kesler 5-0 Kopecky
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
0
Kesler
Kopecky
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
0
Kesler
Kopecky
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Kopecky
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (1,022)
44.0% (225)
+13.3%
Power Play
61.5% (200)
38.0% (50)
+23.5%
Penalty Kill
54.9% (257)
25.0% (8)
+29.9%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopecky shoots left. Kesler is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Kesler shoots right. Kopecky is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Kesler
Kopecky
Home
58.6% (766)
46.7% (150)
Away
56.2% (730)
37.3% (134)
By Period
Kesler
Kopecky
P1
58.9%
41.1%
P2
56.8%
38.2%
P3
57.5%
46.7%
OT
31.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |