Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kesler wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kopecky shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Kopecky 47.2% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 82.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 96.6%
Neutral zone
Kesler 94.1%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 95.1%
95.1%
4.9%
Kesler
Kopecky
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Kesler
Kopecky
Last 5: Kesler 5-0 Kopecky
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
0
Kesler
Kopecky
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
0
Kesler
Kopecky
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Kopecky
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
47.3% (438)
+9.1%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
42.3% (142)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
51.3% (80)
-0.8%
On power play, Kesler has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopecky shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Kesler shoots right. Kopecky is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Kesler
Kopecky
Home
57.2% (5,732)
51.9% (364)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
40.7% (305)
By Period
Kesler
Kopecky
P1
56.5%
47.4%
P2
55.9%
42.5%
P3
56.1%
49.3%
OT
46.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
56.9%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |