Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Kesler wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Ennis 41.7% (+14.8%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 17-5 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 80.9%
Defensive zone
Kesler 97.6%
Neutral zone
Kesler 96.1%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 93.1%
93.1%
6.9%
Kesler
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
5
(22 meetings)
17
5
Kesler
Ennis
Last 10: Kesler 8-2 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
1
Kesler
Ennis
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
7
0
Kesler
Ennis
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
6
4
Kesler
Ennis
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
40.7% (1,404)
+15.7%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
45.5% (167)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
38.1% (21)
+12.4%
On even strength, Kesler has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Kesler shoots right. Ennis is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Kesler
Ennis
Home
57.2% (5,732)
43.6% (834)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
38.4% (760)
By Period
Kesler
Ennis
P1
56.5%
39.4%
P2
55.9%
43.1%
P3
56.1%
41.7%
OT
46.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
56.9%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2014 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 1 | 00:18 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 3 | 04:10 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 06:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |