Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 28 meetings). Kesler wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Fiddler 52.1% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 52-32 in 84 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 91.2%
Defensive zone
Kesler 68.7%
Neutral zone
Kesler 79.0%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Kesler
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
52
-
32
(84 meetings)
52
32
Kesler
Fiddler
Last 10: Kesler 6-4 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
26
2
Kesler
Fiddler
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
12
23
Kesler
Fiddler
35 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
14
7
Kesler
Fiddler
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
53.7% (4,899)
+2.7%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
50.0% (154)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
46.9% (1,479)
+3.6%
On power play, Kesler has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Kesler shoots right. Fiddler is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,195).
Home / Away
Kesler
Fiddler
Home
57.2% (5,732)
53.1% (3,191)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
51.2% (3,366)
By Period
Kesler
Fiddler
P1
56.5%
52.1%
P2
55.9%
52.6%
P3
56.1%
52.0%
OT
46.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 07:15 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 3 | 03:31 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |