Scouting Report
David Gustafsson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gustafsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 49.5% vs McLeod 48.4% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 53.6%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 59.3%
Neutral zone
Gustafsson 50.4%
Result
David Gustafsson favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Gustafsson
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gustafsson
McLeod
Last 7: Gustafsson 4-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Gustafsson
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
2
1
Gustafsson
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
2
1
Gustafsson
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (182)
49.0% (500)
+2.1%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
43.8% (48)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
44.0% (50)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Gustafsson is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Gustafsson shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
McLeod
Home
54.2% (96)
50.9% (291)
Away
45.1% (113)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Gustafsson
McLeod
P1
58.5%
44.3%
P2
39.5%
52.4%
P3
51.5%
47.8%
Final 5 min
58.6%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
49.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | David Gustafsson |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | David Gustafsson |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |