Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs McLeod 52.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 80.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 55.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 61.8%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Cozens
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Cozens
McLeod
Last 9: Cozens 1-8 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Cozens
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Cozens
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Cozens
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
52.9% (904)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
57.6% (59)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
49.0% (241)
-6.6%
On power play, McLeod has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Cozens shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Cozens
McLeod
Home
49.5% (638)
51.8% (612)
Away
51.9% (522)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Cozens
McLeod
P1
51.9%
55.4%
P2
46.4%
50.8%
P3
54.2%
51.6%
OT
16.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:14 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |