Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs McLeod 52.1% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 77.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 58.7%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 69.2%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Rodrigues
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Rodrigues
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Rodrigues
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Rodrigues
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
52.9% (904)
-7.3%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
57.6% (59)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
49.0% (241)
+1.0%
On power play, McLeod has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
McLeod
Home
46.5% (142)
51.8% (612)
Away
43.6% (140)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Rodrigues
McLeod
P1
42.9%
55.4%
P2
50.0%
50.8%
P3
42.4%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |