Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs McLeod 52.1% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 57.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 93.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 77.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 76.7%
23.3%
76.7%
Malkin
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Malkin
McLeod
Last 9: Malkin 6-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
2
Malkin
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
52.9% (904)
-7.4%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
57.6% (59)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
49.0% (241)
+51.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Malkin
McLeod
Home
47.5% (326)
51.8% (612)
Away
44.0% (307)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Malkin
McLeod
P1
49.3%
55.4%
P2
44.7%
50.8%
P3
42.3%
51.6%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:47 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 02:41 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |