Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 48.4% vs McLeod 50.7% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 67.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 74.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 67.4%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
McCann
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
McCann
McLeod
Last 5: McCann 5-0 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
3
0
McCann
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (260)
51.3% (628)
-2.5%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
68.3% (41)
-31.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
30.6% (49)
+19.4%
On power play, McLeod has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. McCann is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (196).
McCann shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
McCann
McLeod
Home
51.0% (143)
51.5% (394)
Away
45.1% (164)
50.0% (324)
By Period
McCann
McLeod
P1
53.6%
51.5%
P2
52.0%
47.0%
P3
37.6%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.9%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 07:38 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Jared McCann |