Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 42.9% vs McLeod 48.4% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 71.7%
Defensive zone
Beniers 72.2%
Neutral zone
Beniers 72.4%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Beniers
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Beniers
McLeod
Last 6: Beniers 1-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Beniers
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Beniers
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (879)
49.0% (500)
-6.7%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
43.8% (48)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
44.0% (50)
+0.4%
On even strength, McLeod has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Beniers is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Beniers shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Beniers
McLeod
Home
43.8% (495)
50.9% (291)
Away
40.5% (474)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Beniers
McLeod
P1
43.3%
44.3%
P2
45.6%
52.4%
P3
38.2%
47.8%
OT
36.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |