Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.3%). Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Rantanen wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 52.1% vs McLeod 52.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 85.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 91.5%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 53.4%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Rantanen
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Rantanen
McLeod
Last 8: Rantanen 5-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
5
0
Rantanen
McLeod
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Rantanen
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Rantanen
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (188)
52.9% (904)
+2.4%
Power Play
46.3% (67)
57.6% (59)
-11.3%
On power play, McLeod has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Rantanen is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Rantanen shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Rantanen
McLeod
Home
57.3% (143)
51.8% (612)
Away
47.3% (112)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Rantanen
McLeod
P1
47.8%
55.4%
P2
56.8%
50.8%
P3
54.5%
51.6%
OT
37.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:49 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |