Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Bergeron wins 63.1% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 61.2% vs McLeod 47.7% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 91.6%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 93.6%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 95.5%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 93.1%
93.1%
6.9%
Bergeron
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Bergeron
McLeod
Last 5: Bergeron 5-0 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
0
Bergeron
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
0
Bergeron
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
0
Bergeron
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (1,102)
47.8% (448)
+16.0%
Power Play
65.3% (288)
48.1% (52)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (210)
36.0% (25)
+11.6%
On power play, Bergeron has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Bergeron shoots right. McLeod is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Bergeron
McLeod
Home
62.5% (882)
46.6% (253)
Away
61.3% (718)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Bergeron
McLeod
P1
62.5%
43.9%
P2
62.7%
45.9%
P3
60.6%
52.1%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |