Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 50.7% vs Strome 46.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 57.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 65.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 60.4%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
McLeod
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McLeod
Strome
Last 5: McLeod 3-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (628)
46.4% (371)
+4.9%
Power Play
68.3% (41)
43.3% (97)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (49)
55.6% (18)
-25.0%
On power play, McLeod has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. McLeod is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
McLeod shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
McLeod
Strome
Home
51.5% (394)
47.6% (225)
Away
50.0% (324)
44.8% (261)
By Period
McLeod
Strome
P1
51.5%
45.4%
P2
47.0%
47.6%
P3
54.3%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |