Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Trenin on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 50.7% vs Trenin 46.6% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Trenin leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 70.4%
Defensive zone
Trenin 63.7%
Neutral zone
Trenin 51.1%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
McLeod
Trenin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
McLeod
Trenin
Last 10: McLeod 5-5 Trenin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
1
McLeod
Trenin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Trenin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trenin
1
4
McLeod
Trenin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (628)
46.5% (144)
+4.8%
Power Play
68.3% (41)
50.0% (2)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (49)
41.9% (74)
-11.3%
On power play, McLeod has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
McLeod shoots left. Trenin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
McLeod
Trenin
Home
51.5% (394)
45.7% (129)
Away
50.0% (324)
44.0% (91)
By Period
McLeod
Trenin
P1
51.5%
47.5%
P2
47.0%
52.6%
P3
54.3%
32.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Trenin
42.0%▲
40.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:48 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:39 | Neutral | Yakov Trenin |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Yakov Trenin |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | Yakov Trenin |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Yakov Trenin |