Adam Henrique vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 88.8%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 78.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Henrique
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Henrique
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Henrique 5-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
43.0% (349)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
31.8% (88)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Henrique is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Henrique shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Henrique
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.3% (237)
38.5% (231)
Away
55.8% (260)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Henrique
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.5%
40.2%
P2
64.8%
36.0%
P3
47.3%
45.1%
OT
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 16:02 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |