Brayden Schenn vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 71.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.1%
Neutral zone
Schenn 55.4%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Schenn 6-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
1
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
50.3% (479)
+1.9%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
50.0% (28)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
30.0% (50)
+27.4%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Schenn is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Schenn shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.1% (575)
48.9% (270)
Away
53.4% (607)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.4%
48.7%
P2
52.7%
50.0%
P3
52.7%
47.3%
OT
50.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | OT | 00:43 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |