Brock Nelson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.8%). Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 56.8%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Nelson 4-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (681)
48.3% (633)
-0.3%
Power Play
54.0% (87)
64.6% (48)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (37)
43.0% (86)
-2.5%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Nelson is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Nelson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.1% (399)
52.0% (419)
Away
45.6% (406)
44.8% (348)
By Period
Nelson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.8%
51.5%
P2
47.5%
45.9%
P3
46.5%
48.1%
OT
20.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 16:57 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 00:39 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |