Joe Veleno vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 43.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 78.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Veleno 6-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
0
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (617)
45.4% (527)
-2.5%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
41.2% (17)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
44.9% (138)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Veleno shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
40.7% (327)
46.1% (336)
Away
44.4% (324)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
43.2%
49.1%
P2
42.0%
45.3%
P3
42.4%
42.0%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | OT | 03:17 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |