Nicklas Backstrom vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 48.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 50.7%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 76.7%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 55.1%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Backstrom 7-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
1
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
0
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (1,097)
43.2% (695)
+4.7%
Power Play
55.7% (149)
53.8% (104)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (111)
54.2% (24)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Backstrom is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Backstrom shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (533).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.1% (638)
48.2% (465)
Away
46.3% (719)
40.5% (358)
By Period
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
44.8%
40.8%
P2
51.1%
41.3%
P3
49.4%
52.1%
OT
55.6%
56.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 23, 2015 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |