Nicklas Backstrom vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nicklas Backstrom holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Backstrom 51.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Backstrom 71.7%
Defensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 50.2%
Neutral zone Backstrom 61.4%
Result Nicklas Backstrom favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Backstrom Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 2 (8 meetings)
6
2
Backstrom Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Backstrom 6-2 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backstrom Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
4
1
Backstrom Nugent-Hopkins
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,104)
48.3% (633)
+2.7%
Power Play
54.5% (178)
64.6% (48)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (89)
43.0% (86)
+4.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +10.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Backstrom is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Backstrom shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.6% (705)
52.0% (419)
Away
49.7% (666)
44.8% (348)
By Period
Backstrom
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.1%
51.5%
P2
51.0%
45.9%
P3
51.4%
48.1%
OT
55.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
46.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%
48.5%
51.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%
50.0%
48.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 12, 2017 3 06:26 Offensive Nicklas Backstrom
Nov 12, 2017 3 00:00 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Nov 12, 2017 2 11:09 Defensive Nicklas Backstrom
Nov 12, 2017 2 00:00 Neutral Nicklas Backstrom
Nov 12, 2017 1 10:02 Neutral Nicklas Backstrom
Nov 12, 2017 1 02:48 Neutral Nicklas Backstrom
Nov 12, 2017 1 00:00 Neutral Nicklas Backstrom
Oct 28, 2017 1 07:04 Offensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins