Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Ryan Poehling
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% vs Poehling 48.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 82.4%
Defensive zone
Poehling 52.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 66.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Nugent-Hopkins
Poehling
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 4-6 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Poehling
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,775)
49.6% (2,780)
-4.8%
Power Play
50.6% (844)
51.6% (93)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (880)
41.7% (635)
-3.9%
On even strength, Poehling has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Poehling is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,357).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Poehling
Home
46.5% (5,361)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
42.8% (5,150)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Poehling
P1
45.1%
50.8%
P2
43.9%
47.1%
P3
45.2%
47.2%
OT
43.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 12:20 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:04 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:03 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 14:30 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |