Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Ryan Strome
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% vs Strome 44.4% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 59.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 70.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Strome
Last 7: Nugent-Hopkins 4-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (527)
43.0% (788)
+2.4%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
47.9% (96)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
50.0% (34)
-5.1%
On power play, Strome has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Strome
Home
46.1% (336)
42.6% (486)
Away
44.2% (346)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Strome
P1
49.1%
41.0%
P2
45.3%
47.8%
P3
42.0%
42.1%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:13 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 01:35 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |