Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sam Reinhart
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 50.2%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 55.0%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 51.6%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (479)
44.1% (324)
+6.2%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
40.3% (72)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (50)
33.9% (118)
-3.9%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Reinhart
Home
48.9% (270)
40.5% (232)
Away
48.1% (287)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Reinhart
P1
48.7%
46.4%
P2
50.0%
32.6%
P3
47.3%
45.4%
OT
36.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |