Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Travis Zajac
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 19 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% vs Zajac 54.2% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 31-22 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 73.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 84.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 87.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
31
(53 meetings)
22
31
Nugent-Hopkins
Zajac
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 3-7 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
8
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Zajac
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
4
15
Nugent-Hopkins
Zajac
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
10
12
Nugent-Hopkins
Zajac
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,756)
54.4% (9,056)
-9.5%
Power Play
50.7% (839)
59.1% (1,498)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (879)
48.6% (1,599)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,645).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Zajac
Home
46.5% (5,350)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
42.9% (5,136)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Zajac
P1
45.1%
53.8%
P2
43.9%
55.6%
P3
45.3%
53.6%
OT
43.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
43.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 15:35 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 13:13 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 1 | 03:38 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 12, 2017 | OT | 00:22 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 03:45 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |