Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tyler Johnson
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.3% vs Johnson 51.8% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnson
Last 6: Nugent-Hopkins 1-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (1,011)
51.2% (825)
-6.2%
Power Play
46.7% (135)
56.9% (160)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (122)
51.1% (137)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (489).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Johnson is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnson
Home
43.8% (625)
56.9% (583)
Away
43.9% (643)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnson
P1
47.8%
55.1%
P2
39.5%
53.0%
P3
44.2%
48.8%
OT
61.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
45.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |