Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tyler Johnson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% vs Johnson 49.7% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 23-20 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
23
(43 meetings)
20
23
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnson
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 3-7 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
8
8
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnson
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
6
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
10
9
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnson
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,756)
49.8% (5,396)
-4.9%
Power Play
50.7% (839)
54.6% (885)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (879)
42.3% (707)
-4.4%
On even strength, Johnson has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,645).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnson
Home
46.5% (5,350)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
42.9% (5,136)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnson
P1
45.1%
50.1%
P2
43.9%
50.6%
P3
45.3%
48.4%
OT
43.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
43.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 02:37 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 15:29 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 14:42 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |