Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Victor Rask
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 45.4% vs Rask 51.1% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 77.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 74.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 76.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
Last 8: Nugent-Hopkins 1-7 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
1
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (695)
51.7% (862)
-8.5%
Power Play
53.8% (104)
45.3% (64)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (24)
44.4% (9)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (533).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Rask is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
Home
48.2% (465)
53.6% (466)
Away
40.5% (358)
48.8% (469)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
P1
40.8%
52.4%
P2
41.3%
50.5%
P3
52.1%
50.8%
OT
56.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
43.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.8%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2016 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |