Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Victor Rask
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% vs Rask 50.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 18-6 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 84.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 79.8%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 84.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
18
(24 meetings)
6
18
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 3-7 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
2
6
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
3
9
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,756)
50.0% (4,428)
-5.1%
Power Play
50.7% (839)
54.3% (363)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (879)
35.2% (54)
+2.7%
On even strength, Rask has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
Home
46.5% (5,350)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
42.9% (5,136)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
P1
45.1%
50.7%
P2
43.9%
48.9%
P3
45.3%
50.7%
OT
43.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
43.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 08:36 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 3 | 06:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Victor Rask |