Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Victor Rask
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.3% vs Rask 49.8% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 78.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 78.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 75.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 2-8 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
1
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (1,011)
48.7% (809)
-3.7%
Power Play
46.7% (135)
60.0% (90)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (122)
47.4% (19)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Rask has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Rask is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
Home
43.8% (625)
51.4% (420)
Away
43.9% (643)
48.4% (498)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Rask
P1
47.8%
49.1%
P2
39.5%
50.2%
P3
44.2%
50.3%
OT
61.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.8%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2017 | 3 | 06:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Victor Rask |