Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 78.4%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 68.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (231)
43.2% (146)
+4.4%
Power Play
83.3% (12)
50.0% (2)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
44.8% (29)
-11.5%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Girgensons is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Home
51.2% (164)
40.3% (72)
Away
43.0% (100)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
P1
50.0%
43.8%
P2
46.2%
44.6%
P3
49.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
44.8%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |