Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.7% vs 45.2%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% vs Girgensons 45.3% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 66.9%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 59.9%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 53.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 6-4 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
5
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
5
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,756)
45.4% (2,700)
-0.5%
Power Play
50.7% (839)
49.1% (175)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (879)
42.2% (481)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,061).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Home
46.5% (5,350)
45.3% (1,673)
Away
42.9% (5,136)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
P1
45.1%
45.7%
P2
43.9%
44.1%
P3
45.3%
45.5%
OT
43.5%
52.5%
Final 5 min
43.7%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 14:15 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 07:38 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 01:52 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 16:34 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |