Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Zemgus Girgensons

2013-14 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.4% vs 41.7%). Look for Girgensons on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 40.4% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nugent-Hopkins 43.0% vs Girgensons 44.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 78.4%
Defensive zone Girgensons 67.0%
Neutral zone Nugent-Hopkins 52.4%
Result Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Nugent-Hopkins Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1 - 4 (5 meetings)
1
4
Nugent-Hopkins Girgensons
Last 5: Nugent-Hopkins 1-4 Girgensons

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
2
Nugent-Hopkins Girgensons
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,054)
42.5% (181)
-0.2%
Power Play
44.6% (195)
62.5% (8)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (31)
35.3% (51)
-3.0%
On power play, Girgensons has a +17.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Girgensons is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Home
45.6% (686)
43.1% (144)
Away
38.7% (594)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
P1
41.7%
39.2%
P2
46.2%
42.5%
P3
39.3%
44.0%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
37.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%
46.5%
42.4%
Girgensons
30.0%
43.5%
41.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 3, 2014 3 12:55 Offensive Zemgus Girgensons
Feb 3, 2014 2 14:50 Neutral Zemgus Girgensons
Feb 3, 2014 1 16:37 Defensive Zemgus Girgensons
Feb 3, 2014 1 16:34 Neutral Zemgus Girgensons
Feb 3, 2014 1 06:11 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins