Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). O'Marra wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Marra 45.0% vs O'Reilly 51.6% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Marra 83.7%
Defensive zone
O'Marra 58.8%
Neutral zone
O'Marra 69.8%
Result
Ryan O'Marra favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
O'Marra
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
O'Marra
O'Reilly
Last 10: O'Marra 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
O'Marra
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
O'Marra
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
O'Marra
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Marra
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (158)
53.4% (770)
-9.7%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
55.6% (54)
-35.6%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
44.4% (196)
-8.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +35.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. O'Marra is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
O'Marra shoots right. O'Reilly is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
O'Marra
O'Reilly
Home
48.1% (108)
53.5% (533)
Away
32.9% (70)
50.0% (492)
By Period
O'Marra
O'Reilly
P1
51.5%
50.8%
P2
38.7%
52.4%
P3
32.6%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Marra
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 15:57 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |