Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Marra 46.9% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Marra 75.4%
Defensive zone
O'Marra 77.1%
Neutral zone
O'Marra 77.9%
Result
Ryan O'Marra favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
O'Marra
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
O'Marra
O'Reilly
Last 10: O'Marra 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
O'Marra
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
O'Marra
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
O'Marra
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Marra
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (218)
56.2% (15,260)
-9.0%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
58.8% (3,445)
-38.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
51.4% (2,811)
-18.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. O'Marra is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
O'Marra shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
O'Marra
O'Reilly
Home
52.0% (150)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
35.5% (93)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
O'Marra
O'Reilly
P1
52.2%
55.6%
P2
44.3%
57.0%
P3
38.1%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
47.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Marra
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 15:57 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |