Scouting Report
Ryan O'Marra holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Marra 46.9% vs Kalinin 43.0% (+4.2%)
Offensive zone
O'Marra 51.6%
Defensive zone
Kalinin 59.6%
Neutral zone
Kalinin 53.3%
Result
Sergey Kalinin favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
O'Marra
Kalinin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Marra
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (218)
41.9% (453)
+5.3%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
33.3% (18)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
40.0% (25)
-6.7%
On power play, Kalinin has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. O'Marra is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
O'Marra shoots right. Kalinin is 34.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
O'Marra
Kalinin
Home
52.0% (150)
42.8% (285)
Away
35.5% (93)
39.8% (211)
By Period
O'Marra
Kalinin
P1
52.2%
43.8%
P2
44.3%
40.6%
P3
38.1%
40.1%
Final 5 min
47.7%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Marra
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.7%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%