Scouting Report
Ryan O'Marra holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Marra on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Marra wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Marra 46.9% vs Lewis 43.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Marra 71.8%
Defensive zone
O'Marra 77.2%
Neutral zone
O'Marra 68.6%
Result
Ryan O'Marra favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
O'Marra
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
O'Marra
Lewis
Last 9: O'Marra 8-1 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Marra
1
0
O'Marra
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Marra
3
0
O'Marra
Lewis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Marra
4
1
O'Marra
Lewis
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Marra
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (218)
43.2% (2,347)
+4.0%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
51.9% (108)
-31.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
38.6% (365)
-5.3%
On power play, Lewis has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. O'Marra is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (67).
O'Marra shoots right. Lewis is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
O'Marra
Lewis
Home
52.0% (150)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
35.5% (93)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
O'Marra
Lewis
P1
52.2%
42.8%
P2
44.3%
43.9%
P3
38.1%
41.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Marra
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.7%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2012 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Marra |