Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Quine 48.3% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Quine 87.8%
Defensive zone
Quine 91.2%
Neutral zone
Quine 84.6%
Result
Alan Quine favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Quine
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Quine
O'Reilly
Last 10: Quine 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
7
Quine
O'Reilly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Quine
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Quine
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Quine
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (498)
57.9% (1,179)
-9.3%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
63.0% (292)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
53.8% (320)
-25.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Quine is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (319).
Quine shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,095).
Home / Away
Quine
O'Reilly
Home
53.8% (236)
61.3% (884)
Away
43.6% (314)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Quine
O'Reilly
P1
47.5%
55.5%
P2
48.5%
61.0%
P3
48.3%
56.8%
OT
0.0%
67.7%
Final 5 min
41.4%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Quine
42.0%▲
39.5%
48.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Alan Quine |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Alan Quine |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Alan Quine |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 12:05 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Alan Quine |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 11:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |