Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gordon wins 57.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.5% vs O'Reilly 52.3% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gordon 57.7%
Defensive zone
Gordon 94.8%
Neutral zone
Gordon 76.8%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Gordon
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Gordon
O'Reilly
Last 6: Gordon 5-1 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
1
Gordon
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
2
0
Gordon
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (576)
53.6% (392)
+4.2%
Power Play
73.7% (19)
47.2% (36)
+26.5%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (194)
50.0% (28)
+4.1%
On power play, Gordon has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Gordon is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Gordon shoots right. O'Reilly is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Gordon
O'Reilly
Home
60.3% (383)
54.4% (237)
Away
54.4% (406)
51.1% (219)
By Period
Gordon
O'Reilly
P1
58.4%
50.3%
P2
56.9%
51.4%
P3
58.8%
55.7%
OT
23.5%
71.4%
Final 5 min
58.5%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |