Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 51.9% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Richardson 68.7%
Defensive zone
Richardson 88.7%
Neutral zone
Richardson 76.0%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Richardson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Richardson
O'Reilly
Last 10: Richardson 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
5
Richardson
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Richardson
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richardson
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (830)
60.3% (1,517)
-5.7%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
61.5% (387)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (196)
55.0% (220)
-12.7%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Richardson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Richardson shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,411).
Home / Away
Richardson
O'Reilly
Home
53.2% (485)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
51.1% (558)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Richardson
O'Reilly
P1
53.9%
56.8%
P2
50.6%
64.6%
P3
51.5%
58.5%
OT
71.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
52.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2018 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 3 | 17:46 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 17:44 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |