Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Nystrom wins 35.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nystrom 41.1% vs O'Reilly 51.6% (-17.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 55.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 79.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 76.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Nystrom
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nystrom
O'Reilly
Last 5: Nystrom 3-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nystrom
1
0
Nystrom
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Nystrom
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nystrom
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (119)
53.4% (770)
-18.1%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
55.6% (54)
-30.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
44.4% (196)
-19.4%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Nystrom is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Nystrom shoots left. O'Reilly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Nystrom
O'Reilly
Home
32.7% (55)
53.5% (533)
Away
35.5% (76)
50.0% (492)
By Period
Nystrom
O'Reilly
P1
35.0%
50.8%
P2
36.4%
52.4%
P3
30.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
28.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nystrom
44.0%▲
39.0%
34.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 16:11 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Eric Nystrom |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 16:29 | Neutral | Eric Nystrom |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Eric Nystrom |