Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 48.5% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 74.8%
Defensive zone
McClement 71.5%
Neutral zone
McClement 73.1%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
McClement
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
McClement
O'Reilly
Last 7: McClement 2-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
McClement
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
McClement
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
1
0
McClement
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (420)
57.9% (1,179)
-9.3%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
63.0% (292)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (94)
53.8% (320)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. McClement is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (344).
McClement shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,095).
Home / Away
McClement
O'Reilly
Home
52.5% (244)
61.3% (884)
Away
44.5% (281)
54.8% (907)
By Period
McClement
O'Reilly
P1
52.3%
55.5%
P2
46.4%
61.0%
P3
46.6%
56.8%
OT
33.3%
67.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | Jay McClement |