Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lammikko 50.9% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lammikko 74.4%
Defensive zone
Lammikko 76.1%
Neutral zone
Lammikko 75.3%
Result
Juho Lammikko favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Lammikko
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lammikko
O'Reilly
Last 8: Lammikko 2-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lammikko
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lammikko
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Lammikko
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lammikko
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (616)
56.6% (1,064)
-4.3%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
60.4% (260)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (62)
54.0% (261)
-16.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lammikko is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Lammikko shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Lammikko
O'Reilly
Home
49.2% (364)
54.9% (801)
Away
53.0% (330)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Lammikko
O'Reilly
P1
51.1%
58.0%
P2
52.3%
56.7%
P3
49.8%
55.4%
OT
0.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lammikko
46.0%▼
51.0%
51.0%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:20 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |