Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 51.2% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 57.6%
Defensive zone
Letestu 65.5%
Neutral zone
Letestu 59.1%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Letestu
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Letestu
O'Reilly
Last 5: Letestu 1-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Letestu
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
0
Letestu
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (755)
56.9% (1,203)
-4.4%
Power Play
53.3% (167)
60.2% (329)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (240)
50.4% (280)
-4.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Letestu is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Letestu shoots right. O'Reilly is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (701).
Home / Away
Letestu
O'Reilly
Home
54.9% (554)
58.6% (879)
Away
48.0% (608)
54.6% (933)
By Period
Letestu
O'Reilly
P1
50.7%
55.6%
P2
54.6%
57.9%
P3
48.4%
55.7%
OT
54.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |