Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ribeiro wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 39.3% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-18.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 90.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 53.8%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 81.7%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Ribeiro
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Ribeiro
O'Reilly
Last 6: Ribeiro 1-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Ribeiro
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Ribeiro
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
37.8% (650)
56.9% (1,203)
-19.1%
Power Play
38.9% (108)
60.2% (329)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.4% (280)
-50.4%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +50.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Ribeiro is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Ribeiro shoots left. O'Reilly is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
O'Reilly
Home
37.9% (417)
58.6% (879)
Away
37.9% (343)
54.6% (933)
By Period
Ribeiro
O'Reilly
P1
38.3%
55.6%
P2
38.8%
57.9%
P3
36.4%
55.7%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
33.5%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |