Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kane on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kane wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 43.3% vs O'Reilly 52.6% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 66.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 90.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 79.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Kane
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kane
O'Reilly
Last 6: Kane 4-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kane
4
0
Kane
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Kane
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Kane
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (525)
52.5% (1,177)
-11.4%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
54.6% (130)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
52.8% (108)
+27.2%
On penalty kill, Kane has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kane is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Kane shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,027).
Home / Away
Kane
O'Reilly
Home
43.4% (288)
54.9% (669)
Away
40.9% (281)
51.0% (774)
By Period
Kane
O'Reilly
P1
46.9%
52.4%
P2
38.6%
56.1%
P3
41.5%
49.8%
OT
26.7%
57.7%
Final 5 min
44.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
38.0%▲
27.0%
42.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Patrick Kane |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 03:21 | Offensive | Patrick Kane |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Patrick Kane |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Patrick Kane |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |