Pierre-Edouard Bellemare vs Ryan O'Reilly
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bellemare 51.5% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bellemare 58.3%
Defensive zone
Bellemare 78.4%
Neutral zone
Bellemare 65.1%
Result
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Bellemare
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Bellemare
O'Reilly
Last 7: Bellemare 2-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Bellemare
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bellemare
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bellemare
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (695)
56.6% (1,064)
-2.8%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
60.4% (260)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (227)
54.0% (261)
-8.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Bellemare is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (583).
Bellemare shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Bellemare
O'Reilly
Home
52.1% (449)
54.9% (801)
Away
51.2% (486)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Bellemare
O'Reilly
P1
54.5%
58.0%
P2
50.9%
56.7%
P3
49.8%
55.4%
OT
50.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bellemare
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |